Research & Analysis

Data-driven insights into Bitcoin's price dynamics

Bitcoin Halving Cycle Explained: When Does Bitcoin Peak?

We analyzed 10+ years of data to find what actually predicts Bitcoin returns. The halving cycle phase explains 28.2% of 90-day return variance—3x more than valuation or Fed policy.

Bitcoin Power Law Model: Fair Value Analysis

Understanding the diminishing sine power law model and what it says about Bitcoin's current valuation.

Factor Hierarchy: What Actually Moves Bitcoin?

A deep dive into our factor importance study. Why halving beats valuation beats Fed policy.