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BitcoinML
Halving cycle · Power law valuation · Money supply fuel
Data updated May 28, 2026 · v20 · GA4 tracked
Filter
Halving Cycle
Trend · now · history.
Valuation Metric
Power Law
Fair value vs price.
Fuel
Money Supply
Liquidity vs BTC.
Halving Cycles — Current Filter
General trend · now · history.
Model sine wave
This cycle
Past cycles
Past only
Reset
Hover for day + cycle values
Full cycle
Pre-halving
Bull phase
Distribution
Now ±180d
Now
Day 708
Current Phase
Distribution
Current Filter
General Trend
Power Law — Rainbow σ Valuation Bands
Log scale · actual BTC price · standard-deviation bands.
+3σ
$619k
+2σ
$379k
+1σ
$231k
Model
$142k
−1σ
$87k
−2σ
$53k
−3σ
$32k
Power Law R²
0.9605
Fair Value
$139,182
Deviation
-45.0%
M2 Money Supply — Fuel vs BTC Response
M2 in gold · BTC market response in grey · normalized dual scale.
M2 expanding
BTC response
M2 money supply
Actual BTC path
BTC-M2 Correlation
0.776
Optimal Lead
90 days
M2 Trend
Expanding
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is analysis, not financial advice.